Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.08) 
