Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
74.04% ( -0.19) | 17.07% ( 0.17) | 8.88% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.37% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( -0.69) | 45.78% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.9% ( -0.66) | 68.09% ( 0.66) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.2% ( -0.24) | 10.8% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.17% ( -0.52) | 34.83% ( 0.52) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.38% ( -0.41) | 53.62% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.96% ( -0.26) | 87.04% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
2-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 74.03% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 17.07% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.88% |
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