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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
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Atletico
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Atletico win 3-2 on penalties
Griezmann (35'), Depay (87')
Hermoso (41'), Koke (90')
FT
(aet)
Dimarco (33')
Calhanoglu (104'), Acerbi (105+2'), Aurel Bisseck (118')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawInter Milan
40.06% (2.074 2.07) 26.15% (0.642 0.64) 33.78% (-2.717 -2.72)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-2.576 -2.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-3.134 -3.13)51.14% (3.132 3.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-2.811 -2.81)72.99% (2.811 2.81)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)25.12% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.442 -0.44)59.83% (0.441 0.44)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-3.122 -3.12)28.75% (3.121 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-4.067 -4.07)64.59% (4.065 4.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 40.06%
    Inter Milan 33.78%
    Draw 26.15%
Atletico MadridDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.98% (1.114 1.11)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.714 0.71)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.302 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.865 0.87)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9% (0.348 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Betis
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Atletico
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Inter Milan
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A


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