Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
0.25) 
-0.46) 
