SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
28.19% ( 0.95) | 29.64% ( 0.18) | 42.17% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.85% ( -0.19) | 65.16% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16% ( -0.13) | 84% ( 0.13) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.75% ( 0.7) | 40.25% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.12% ( 0.63) | 76.88% ( -0.62) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.73) | 30.64% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.87) | 66.88% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.36% Total : 28.19% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 14.58% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.29)1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.27% Total : 42.16% |
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