Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Ocampo (22'),
Ramirez (66'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernando Alfaro (24'), Arevalo (72'), Velazco (90+2' pen.)
Caballero (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Nacional |
52.74% ( -0.34) | 25.15% ( -0.04) | 22.11% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.56) |
| 46.12% ( 0.5) | 53.87% ( -0.5) |
| 24.66% ( 0.42) | 75.33% ( -0.42) |
| 79.57% ( 0.06) | 20.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.13% ( 0.1) | 52.87% ( -0.1) |
| 60.6% ( 0.66) | 39.4% ( -0.66) |
