SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Flamengo |
40.3% ( -0.29) | 25.54% ( -0.05) | 34.16% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( 0.27) | 48.4% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% ( 0.25) | 70.54% ( -0.25) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.02) | 23.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( -0.04) | 57.92% ( 0.04) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.33) | 27.18% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 0.43) | 62.59% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.16% |
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