SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
64.98% ( 0.23) | 21.03% ( 0.07) | 13.99% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.87) | 49.44% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.78) | 71.48% ( 0.78) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( -0.21) | 14.47% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( -0.4) | 42.43% ( 0.4) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.39% ( -0.97) | 46.6% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.81% ( -0.75) | 82.18% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 64.96% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.99% |
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