SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
45.64% ( 2.53) | 29.03% ( 0.44) | 25.33% ( -2.97) |
| Both teams to score 41.19% ( -2.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.43% ( -2.71) | 64.57% ( 2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.41% ( -1.96) | 83.59% ( 1.95) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.04) | 28.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 0.05) | 64.2% ( -0.06) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -4.12) | 42.43% ( 4.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( -3.74) | 78.81% ( 3.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.17% ( 1.47) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.93)2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( 1.15)2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.73)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.42)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.11% Total : 25.32% |
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