Despite Union clearly being in better form ahead of this huge clash towards the bottom of the table, they may have been rocked by the departure of their manager earlier this week.
Tucuman have won their last two home matches and will therefore feel confident of piling on the misery for their opponents, so we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.08%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.
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