Augsburg have a solid recent home record against Borussia Monchengladbach, winning the last three matches at the WWK Arena, but the visitors finished much higher in the table last season.
It is the start of a new era for the Foals, who are now under the helm of Seoane, so we expect them to be good enough to take at least a point this Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-4.9) 
0.91) 
