SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
27.22% ( -0.19) | 24.35% ( 0.22) | 48.43% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( -1.11) | 46.28% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( -1.06) | 68.57% ( 1.06) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( -0.72) | 30.82% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( -0.86) | 67.09% ( 0.86) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( -0.45) | 19.19% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.13% ( -0.75) | 50.86% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.22% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.43% |
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