SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
36.75% ( -0) | 24.21% ( 0.03) | 39.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.13) | 41.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.13) | 64.33% ( 0.13) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.06) | 22.7% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( -0.09) | 56.36% ( 0.09) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( -0.07) | 21.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( -0.11) | 54.63% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.03% |
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