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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
37.44% ( -0.1) | 24.34% ( 0.22) | 38.23% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.5% ( -1.05) | 42.5% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( -1.05) | 64.9% ( 1.05) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0.52) | 22.6% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( -0.78) | 56.21% ( 0.77) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.52) | 22.2% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( -0.79) | 55.61% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.23% |
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