SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
53.92% ( 0.07) | 22.24% ( -0.08) | 23.83% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.24% ( 0.38) | 39.76% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( 0.4) | 62.12% ( -0.4) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.15) | 14.76% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.99% ( 0.3) | 43.01% ( -0.3) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( 0.21) | 30.02% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( 0.26) | 66.14% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.92% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.83% |
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