Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw has a probability of 19.2% and a win for Groningen has a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Groningen win it is 1-2 (4.58%).