SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.18%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
79.18% ( 3.26) | 13.5% ( -1.67) | 7.31% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( 2.36) | 34.36% ( -2.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( 2.62) | 56.27% ( -2.62) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.13% ( 1.21) | 6.86% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.75% ( 3.14) | 25.25% ( -3.14) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.38% ( -2.12) | 49.61% ( 2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.61% ( -1.53) | 84.39% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.73)1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.53)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.9)4-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.35)5-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.69)5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.4)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.22)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.17% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.43)Other @ 2.68% Total : 7.31% |
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