SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Estonia |
65.35% ( 0.7) | 20.36% ( -0.21) | 14.29% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% ( -0.12) | 46.07% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( -0.12) | 68.37% ( 0.12) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.17) | 13.29% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.89% ( 0.34) | 40.11% ( -0.35) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.9% ( -0.79) | 44.1% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.79% ( -0.65) | 80.2% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 65.34% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.29% |
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