Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.75%).
