SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | US Virgin Islands |
27.09% ( 3.84) | 24.86% ( 1.34) | 48.05% ( -5.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( -2.45) | 48.58% ( 2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% ( -2.28) | 70.7% ( 2.27) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( 1.88) | 32.13% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% ( 2.08) | 68.61% ( -2.08) |
| US Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -2.98) | 20.26% ( 2.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( -4.99) | 52.6% ( 4.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | US Virgin Islands |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 1.05) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.7)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.36)Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.67) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.76)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.7)0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.89)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.51)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.56)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.04% |
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