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FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium

Barnet
4 - 0
Chelmsford City

Stead (26', 41'), Glover (75'), Brunt (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Penney (68')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Barnet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Boston
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
BarnetDrawChelmsford City
60.65% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09) 20.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.47% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.06% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.34% (0.078000000000003 0.08)40.66% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.95% (0.077999999999996 0.08)63.04% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.49%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42% (0.13 0.13)35.57% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (0.135 0.14)72.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 60.65%
    Chelmsford City 18.47%
    Draw 20.88%
BarnetDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 60.65%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 18.47%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Boston
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-0 Fylde
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-1 Barnet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-3 Barnet
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Altrincham
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tilbury 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-5 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South


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