Sarmiento have struggled to create chances, and they are playing a side in Barracas who have a lot of momentum and are quite comfortable in close games, which is why we project the home team will walk away with all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
