SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 78.63%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 7.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.78%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Belshina |
78.63% ( -0.04) | 13.79% ( 0.01) | 7.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.24% ( 0.01) | 34.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.28% ( 0.02) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.94% ( -0.01) | 7.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.22% ( -0.01) | 25.78% ( 0.01) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.78% ( 0.07) | 49.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.89% ( 0.04) | 84.11% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Belshina |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 78.61% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 13.79% | 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.58% |
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