Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 27, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
We said: Belgrano 2-0 Banfield
It is hard to look beyond Belgrano against Banfield, due to the home side's consistency on their turf and the visiting side's inability to pull up trees on their travels.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.73%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result |
| Belgrano | Draw | Banfield |
48.02% ( -0.5) | 31.47% ( 0.53) | 20.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 32.25% ( -0.97) |
| 26.6% ( -1.18) | 73.4% ( 1.18) |
| 10.67% ( -0.71) | 89.33% ( 0.71) |
| 68.27% ( -0.91) | 31.73% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.85% ( -1.06) | 68.15% ( 1.06) |
| 47.24% ( -0.78) | 52.76% ( 0.78) |
