SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.55%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
80.55% ( -0.09) | 12.21% ( 0.09) | 7.24% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.52% ( -0.53) | 27.48% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.66) | 48.1% ( 0.67) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.79% ( -0.11) | 5.21% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.39% ( -0.35) | 20.61% ( 0.35) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.49% ( -0.42) | 44.51% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.46% ( -0.34) | 80.54% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.27% Total : 80.55% | 1-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.03% Total : 12.21% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 7.24% |
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