Birmingham are a result away from almost-certain Championship safety, but it is seldom the way of Blues to get their survival business done early in the second tier.
Blackburn are on the home straight in their quest for a top-six finish, and we believe they will bounce back from their defeat in the FA Cup with a maximum at St Andrew's on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
