Birmingham's performance against Middlesbrough was highly concerning, but we reckon that a change of style could help Blues towards earning a result on Saturday.
Watford will be hoping for a new manager bounce in the Second City, but we feel that Cleverley will have to wait for his maiden victory as a manager.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
