SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
61.66% ( -0.17) | 22.1% ( 0.09) | 16.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( -0.23) | 49.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( -0.21) | 71.67% ( 0.21) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( -0.14) | 15.6% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% ( -0.25) | 44.58% ( 0.25) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.03) | 43.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.21% ( -0.02) | 79.79% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.65% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.24% |
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