SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
33.66% ( -0.26) | 23.29% ( 0.02) | 43.05% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.19) | 38.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0.2) | 60.32% ( 0.2) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( -0.23) | 22.57% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( -0.34) | 56.17% ( 0.34) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( 0.02) | 18.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( 0.03) | 49.06% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.05% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
