Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
54.01% ( -0.27) | 22.99% ( 0.18) | 23% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% ( -0.71) | 44.08% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.54% ( -0.7) | 66.46% ( 0.7) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( -0.35) | 16.26% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.21% ( -0.63) | 45.79% ( 0.63) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.32) | 33.1% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -0.35) | 69.7% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23% |
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