SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro |
34.89% ( -0.06) | 28.83% ( -0) | 36.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.01) | 61.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( 0.01) | 81.17% ( -0.01) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% ( -0.04) | 33.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% ( -0.04) | 69.71% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( 0.05) | 32.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( 0.05) | 68.69% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.28% |
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