Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Chorley
42.57% ( -0.2)	27.76% ( 0.14)	29.67% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.05% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49% (

-0.48)

58.5% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

-0.37)

79.08% (

0.37)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0.33)

27.18% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0.43)

62.59% (

0.43)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61% (

-0.2)

35.38% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85% (

-0.21)

72.15% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 42.56%

Chorley 29.67%

Draw 27.75%

Brackley Town	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.56%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.67%