SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
42.57% ( -0.2) | 27.76% ( 0.14) | 29.67% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% ( -0.48) | 58.5% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.37) | 79.08% ( 0.37) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( -0.33) | 27.18% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( -0.43) | 62.59% ( 0.43) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.2) | 35.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -0.21) | 72.15% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.67% |
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