SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
54.75% ( 0.16) | 22.99% ( -0.02) | 22.26% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( -0.05) | 44.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( -0.05) | 67.24% ( 0.05) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( 0.04) | 16.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.16% ( 0.07) | 45.84% ( -0.06) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.16) | 34.21% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -0.17) | 70.9% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 22.26% |
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