SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
59.6% ( 0.26) | 21.66% ( -0.05) | 18.74% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( -0.06) | 43.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.06) | 66.11% ( 0.07) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( 0.06) | 14.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.92% ( 0.12) | 42.08% ( -0.11) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( -0.25) | 37.08% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( -0.25) | 73.86% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.59% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.74% |
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