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Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
CP

Braga
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-3 Braga
Saturday, October 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Even though Braga enter the game after a disappointing last week, the gap between the two teams in terms of quality is still too big. Braga are clear favourites, and the home fans should further encourage the team to bounce back after last week's poor results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
59.6% (0.25899999999999 0.26) 21.66% (-0.052 -0.05) 18.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)43.72% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89% (-0.061 -0.06)66.11% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.063000000000002 0.06)14.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.116 0.12)42.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (-0.255 -0.25)37.08% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14% (-0.254 -0.25)73.86% (0.25999999999999 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Braga 59.59%
    Casa Pia 18.74%
    Draw 21.65%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-3 Braga
Saturday, October 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rebordosa 0-2 Braga
Thursday, October 19 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Braga
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Braga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rabo Peixe 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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