Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
59.6% ( 0.26) | 21.66% ( -0.05) | 18.74% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.28% ( -0.06) | 43.72% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.89% ( -0.06) | 66.11% ( 0.07) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% ( 0.06) | 14.28% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.92% ( 0.12) | 42.08% ( -0.11) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.92% ( -0.25) | 37.08% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.14% ( -0.25) | 73.86% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.59% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.74% |
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