Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
70.62% (![]() | 17.49% (![]() | 11.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% (![]() | 38.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.96% (![]() | 61.04% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.22% (![]() | 9.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.47% (![]() | 32.53% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.84% (![]() | 43.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.58% (![]() | 79.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 11.4% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.61% | 1-1 @ 8.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.49% | 0-1 @ 3.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.29% Total : 11.9% |
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