SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
72.96% ( -1.72) | 16.08% ( 0.48) | 10.96% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 3.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.55% ( 1.57) | 34.45% ( -1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.63% ( 1.74) | 56.37% ( -1.75) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.83% ( 0) | 8.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.37% ( 0.02) | 28.63% ( -0.02) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( 3.41) | 41.87% ( -3.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.68% ( 2.84) | 78.32% ( -2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.73)1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.7)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.36)5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.22)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.11)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 72.95% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.43)0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.08% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.96% |
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