SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
50.95% ( -0.07) | 23.83% ( 0.05) | 25.22% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( -0.18) | 45.57% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( -0.17) | 67.89% ( 0.17) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.1) | 17.92% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( -0.17) | 48.73% ( 0.17) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( -0.08) | 32.01% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( -0.09) | 68.48% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.22% |
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