Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.05) 
