Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
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