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Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 at 12am UK
Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
BL

America Mineiro
1 - 2
Botafogo

Benitez (39')
Egea (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Santos (22', 50')
Santos (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: America Mineiro 0-2 Botafogo

Botafogo will have felt a significant weight being removed from their shoulders when ending their winless run away to Fluminense last time out, and they will be confident of picking up enough points between now and the end of the season to be crowned champions. America Mineiro, on the other hand, appear destined for relegation after enduring a disastrous season so far, and we can only envisage their winless streak extending against the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawBotafogo
36.89% (0.441 0.44) 28.42% (0.214 0.21) 34.69% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 46.5% (-0.67 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.17% (-0.806 -0.81)59.83% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.89% (-0.62 -0.62)80.11% (0.621 0.62)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.13 -0.13)31.1% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (-0.154 -0.15)67.42% (0.154 0.15)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.84100000000001 -0.84)32.51% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (-0.955 -0.96)69.04% (0.95700000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 36.89%
    Botafogo 34.68%
    Draw 28.41%
America MineiroDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 11.81% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 36.89%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.11% (0.302 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-1 Vasco
Tuesday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Bragantino
Wednesday, September 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-2 America Mineiro
Saturday, September 16 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Santos
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Goias
Tuesday, October 3 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo
Sunday, September 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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