Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Fluminense
53.22% ( -0.13)	23.12% ( -0.03)	23.66% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.05% (

0.32)

43.95% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

0.31)

66.34% (

-0.31)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

0.07)

16.49% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

0.12)

46.21% (

-0.12)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

0.33)

32.45% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03% (

0.36)

68.98% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 53.22%

Fluminense 23.66%

Draw 23.12%

Bragantino	Draw	Fluminense
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.22%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.66%