SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Cruzeiro |
55.97% ( -0.09) | 23.33% ( -0.02) | 20.71% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( 0.26) | 48.2% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( 0.23) | 70.35% ( -0.23) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.06) | 17.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( 0.1) | 47.2% ( -0.1) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( 0.27) | 37.59% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% ( 0.26) | 74.37% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.71% |
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