Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.07) 
