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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
CL

Brentford
2 - 2
Chelsea

Roerslev (50'), Wissa (69')
Janelt (57'), Onyeka (73'), Jorgensen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jackson (35'), Disasi (83')
Gallagher (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 4-2 Brentford
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawChelsea
31.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 44.99% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 63.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.043999999999997 0.04)37.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)60.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.040000000000006 0.04)23.43% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.059999999999995 0.06)57.42% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)17.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)47.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.9%
    Chelsea 44.99%
    Draw 23.09%
BrentfordDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.9%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 44.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 4-2 Brentford
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Brentford
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Man City
Monday, February 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Brentford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-4 Wolves
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Premier League


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