SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Crystal Palace |
41.5% ( 0.64) | 25.29% ( 0.22) | 33.22% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( -1.18) | 47.52% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( -1.1) | 69.72% ( 1.09) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.2) | 22.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.51% ( -0.29) | 56.48% ( 0.29) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( -1.09) | 27.33% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.21% ( -1.43) | 62.79% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.22% |
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