SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Leicester City |
48.01% ( 0.33) | 21.96% ( 0.01) | 30.03% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 66.6% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.28) | 33.12% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.14% ( -0.32) | 54.86% ( 0.32) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( 0) | 14.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( 0.01) | 42.21% ( -0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.34) | 22.24% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.51) | 55.67% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
