Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.3) 
0.48) 
