Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.