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Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
1 - 1
Sudtirol

Borrelli (81' pen.)
Ferro (73'), Mangraviti (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pecorino (65')
Casiraghi (44'), Masiello (87'), Lunetta (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 1-2 Brescia
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawSudtirol
42.18% (0.139 0.14) 28.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.29% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.78% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)61.27% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)81.2% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.71% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.07 0.07)64.54% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.137 -0.14)37.18% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (-0.135 -0.14)73.97% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 42.18%
    Sudtirol 29.29%
    Draw 28.52%
BresciaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Modena 1-2 Brescia
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-2 Parma
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-3 Brescia
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Como
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Brescia
Sunday, December 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 3-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Lecco 2-1 Sudtirol
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-3 Reggiana
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 2-3 Sudtirol
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 2-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Como
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B


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