SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
59.49% ( -0.08) | 20.76% ( 0.12) | 19.75% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.65) | 38.05% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( -0.7) | 60.32% ( 0.69) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( -0.23) | 12.5% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.51% ( -0.47) | 38.49% ( 0.47) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( -0.42) | 32.71% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -0.47) | 69.27% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 59.49% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.75% |
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